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newAndCurious888 41M
514 posts
11/14/2023 12:54 am
Following The Money: All Bets Point to Trump Victory


RCP Averages for betting odds:

Trump. Biden
BetUS 36 31
Betfair 35 30
Betsson. 35 30
Bovada 34 28
Bwin. 35 27
Neds 36 29
Points Bet. 35 30
PredictIt. 36 35
Sportingbet. 35 27

A Trump lead in every single market.

Biden is toast

Trump 47

newAndCurious888 41M

11/14/2023 12:59 am

The polls are bad for Biden, the betting odds are bad for Biden, everything is bad for Biden.

No Plan
No Vision
No Chance

Biden is Done


Darkanddom2016 53M  
11 posts
11/14/2023 1:40 am

Dude...I will just remind you that I year out Mitt Romney was way ahead of Obama. Same with McCain. And neither won. Even worse for Trump is that neither McCain nor Romney was facing 91 felony indictments. And right now Biden is taking flack for his 100% support of Israel in its Gaza war, which many voters in our country view as genocidial in nature. So the polls in Nov. 2023 can be explained away. You are just setting yourself and us up for another "election fraud" fantasy arguments of the same kind we heard about in 2023 and to this day from Trump. Whilst all 71 of his court cases for election fraud were being thrown out. You are setting up for those same arguments in November 2024 to Jan. 2025 after he loses bigger than he did in 2020. Assuming of course Trump is not convicted or jailed. Which is very likely he will be a convicted felon. But go on believing what you believe. That freedom you have to do so is why some of us donned the camis, picked up a weapon and stood the post. Semper Fi.


Ds_seek_sub_slav 63M/26F
1819 posts
11/14/2023 2:51 am

It's nice to know that you think the constitution is just a quaint document and needs to be suspended so that Project 2025 can be implemented. Trympee has gotten on board with it. He wins, POTUS become the defacto leader of the country with no checks and no balances. He becomes an autocrate just like putin, she, un, modi, etc..... the American experiment is over.

Nice to know that you support that!

Well, since the election appears to be over, then we should just depose Biden and install trumpee so that we can start Project 2025 and get trumpees lifetime appointment as dictator started. It will only last a few years anyway.

All for it say "Aye".......


domnvt 60M
63 posts
11/14/2023 3:56 am

Disgusting that these people are openly advocating for a dictatorship in the US. Oh, I just noticed, US is the same as us. I am a genius!
Ironic that people who are enjoying their sexual choices on this site will have those taken away by the MAGATs they support. Just like they did in Germany.


brandygirasol 55T
9433 posts
11/14/2023 4:23 am

The Greatest President in USA History... Donald J TRUMP❤️❤️❤️


theowner2020 64M  
1219 posts
11/14/2023 4:32 am

TRUMP 2024! I don't care about your opinion CUNT.


likeithot19 62M
6061 posts
11/14/2023 5:55 am

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1036011250854388/?s=single_unit&__cft__[0]=AZW21yF-wGV4SrY9smV3I8w9KNR1MqHcXsUxuSXI6SqP94fwABQr4i-s916bVhw6HxF7mfdPpmCiRX6ObsofIScqrPx_KFlZ8Erz9lxLY5ExHX3O4AnPfrfb8pYw2IqJG14BMvyo_wUCGginQLrdxNG5U7SFi0KQVz84CoUxAxLz3NYH1AvyeIdZ4MuSrdgD3-RtJBdOIzG4OmPbz-OnZ7IAM1mAwkCFaLUctsqNuXUfKA&__tn__=H-R

The voting machines in Pennsylvania flipped the votes last Tuesday, Copy and paste the above article to see it


BoundSissy2013 51T  
256 posts
11/14/2023 5:56 am

    Quoting theowner2020:
    TRUMP 2024! I don't care about your opinion CUNT.
and no one yours.

Hope


bikerforslut 64M
329 posts
11/14/2023 6:42 am

I wonder if all these traitors will be treated like the nazi sympathizers were after ww2. I guess the real Americans can only hope so. Hey at least this dunce isn't a vile POS like some of his fellow anti-american comrades on here. tRUMPutin for prison 2024, the greatest president Russia ever had!!! I'm not a betting man, but with those odds and tRUMPutins track record of whinning I mean winning, or lack of. I'm putting some cash on it.


uncommon1 66M  
1437 posts
11/14/2023 7:24 am

Betting odds go 6/4 that
Trump cuts a plea deal.

That deal will include him
not admitting guilt but not
running for public office.


theowner2020 64M  
1219 posts
11/14/2023 8:50 am

Canadians matter even less!


BoundSissy2013 51T  
256 posts
11/14/2023 9:26 am

when you have nothing to show but a tiny cock, i guess you give all that you can. All the girls laugh at you in high school and you held a grudge pumpkin? i can see why you like trump with your tiny hands.

Hope


grywolf2 73M
3110 posts
11/14/2023 9:30 am

Little boy, let me attempt to explain how betting odds actually work.

Books don't care if their prediction on any contest is right or wrong, they are only concerned with getting as close as possible to equal money wagered on both sides. They live off the vig or the percentage paid on a losing bet. They adjust when they misjudge public opinion and that is why lines change over time, but only as much as is necessary to attain equal money on both sides. When that fails they hedge their situation by laying off with another book enough money on the other side to match their exposure. No profit there but no loss either.

So being right means nothing to them and thus their guess on public opinion presently on an election a year away is influenced by the degenerate gamblers feeling the compunction to bet at this early time and not because they are Nostradamus nor do they possess any crystal ball to magically predict anything.

Finally, what you are quoting above is a current guess at the probability of winning. That is strictly guessing and means nothing if you want to bet.
Go to https://www.usracing.com/odds/us-presidential-election
Here, are the true odds if you are ready to reach in your pocket and bet.
Bet on the U.S. Presidential Election

- Updated November 18, 2021 16:00:45

2024 US Presidential Election
Fractional American
Joe Biden 7/2 +350
Kamala Harris 4/1 +400
Donald Trump 7/1 +700
Ron Desantis 9/1 +900
Nikki Haley 12/1 +1200

To translate for you, the + figures indicate how much you would win if you placed a $100 bet. As you can see, this book knows how public opinion will change so a Biden bet on $100 pays out $350 if it wins. A tRUMP bet of $100 pays $700 to win. As you can see here if we are talking real money, the higher payout indicates the underdog.
For the uninitiated, which with you, applies to everything in life, the fractional odds might make more sense to your small mind. 7/2 for Biden is better odds to win than 7/1 for tRUMP. You have to pay out more if you lose as the favorite bettor to make the same if you win as the underdog bettor.

I apologize to anyone else reading this as I had to dumb it down for this duncehead.

So, dummy, you can't follow the money if you don't understand how gambling works, and you don't.
Am I the only one who thinks this boy should change his profile pic showing him sitting on a stool, a blackboard behind him, and wearing a dunce cap?
I could do it in mid-journey AI but I'd have to pay to be a silver or gold to post it.
Not worth it.


meltwill2 72M  
3807 posts
11/14/2023 10:01 am

    Quoting theowner2020:
    TRUMP 2024! I don't care about your opinion CUNT.
no one does.....


meltwill2 72M  
3807 posts
11/14/2023 10:03 am

Can of what? worms???? OH caniduh......


Peter8xxx 65M
606 posts
11/14/2023 12:24 pm

"RCP Averages for betting odds:

Trump. Biden
BetUS 36 31
Betfair 35 30
Betsson. 35 30
Bovada 34 28
Bwin. 35 27
Neds 36 29
Points Bet. 35 30
PredictIt. 36 35
Sportingbet. 35 27"

You can't beat the stupidity of that!
None of the odds shown see Biden as an outsider!
He has the lower odds, therefore the BETTER CHANCES!!!
Have you ever seen a donkey?look in a mirror!

Thank you "grywolf2",there is no better way to explain a thing!!! But your efforts will be in vain,he will learn nothing more....


grywolf2 73M
3110 posts
11/14/2023 2:09 pm

    Quoting Peter8xxx:
    "RCP Averages for betting odds:

    Trump. Biden
    BetUS 36 31
    Betfair 35 30
    Betsson. 35 30
    Bovada 34 28
    Bwin. 35 27
    Neds 36 29
    Points Bet. 35 30
    PredictIt. 36 35
    Sportingbet. 35 27"

    You can't beat the stupidity of that!
    None of the odds shown see Biden as an outsider!
    He has the lower odds, therefore the BETTER CHANCES!!!
    Have you ever seen a donkey?look in a mirror!

    Thank you "grywolf2",there is no better way to explain a thing!!! But your efforts will be in vain,he will learn nothing more....
YW, If only I was a cult deprogrammer, but I'm not.

This dummy keeps posting every day and never responds to those who comment.
That shows a sorry lack of conviction or at least a sorry waste of time.


Ds_seek_sub_slav 63M/26F
1819 posts
11/14/2023 8:11 pm

    Quoting likeithot19:
    https://www.facebook.com/reel/1036011250854388/?s=single_unit&__cft__[0]=AZW21yF-wGV4SrY9smV3I8w9KNR1MqHcXsUxuSXI6SqP94fwABQr4i-s916bVhw6HxF7mfdPpmCiRX6ObsofIScqrPx_KFlZ8Erz9lxLY5ExHX3O4AnPfrfb8pYw2IqJG14BMvyo_wUCGginQLrdxNG5U7SFi0KQVz84CoUxAxLz3NYH1AvyeIdZ4MuSrdgD3-RtJBdOIzG4OmPbz-OnZ7IAM1mAwkCFaLUctsqNuXUfKA&__tn__=H-R

    The voting machines in Pennsylvania flipped the votes last Tuesday, Copy and paste the above article to see it
Wow. Since when is Facebook a source? You are just willfully ignorant! The post reported the story originally and just got it wrong! Poor journalism just like a faux noise.

Here is the real story.

apnews.
com/
article/
fact-check-pennsylvania-election-vote-flip-545307248102

Oops. Clerical error. Votes counted correctly. Print out wrong. The vote was not in error. Two ballot measures were affected with the erroneous printout. Again, those printouts are NOT used to count votes and the votes were recorded properly up the to the state level.

Damn. Data wins again! Took longer for the page to load than the search did....


wrinkledholelick 46M
16 posts
11/14/2023 8:37 pm

tucker 2024


Ds_seek_sub_slav 63M/26F
1819 posts
11/14/2023 8:42 pm

    Quoting brandygirasol:
    The Greatest President in USA History... Donald J TRUMP❤️❤️❤️
Wow. You must be a billionaire as the only way he is the greatest is the continuing tax cuts you are enjoying. The rest of us have to make up your windfall as our cuts sunsetted. I hope you choke on that windfall!

BTW, this is how the French revolution started. The billionaires at the time didn't fair so well and why EVERY FOUNDING FATHER wanted a regressive tax system and got it! Regressive meaning that the rich pay more as a % than the poor. The key over the years is to define income. A loan on stock is NOT income. Even when you cash stock it is a capital gain or loss and not income!

These simple tax plans (0.27*W2) let's the rich off scott-free. They don't have a W2. The plans are utter shit. Look at the tax form. 99% of the form defines your adjusted gross income. Four lines do the rest:

1) look up adjusted gross income in the table
2) write down the tax owed
3) subtract tax already paid
4) refund/write a check

4 lines. The rest of a 1040 (and its 100s of forms) define income to get your adjusted gross income to look up.

Sheer willful ignorance!!!! So sad that people don't know how there own shit works and make conclusions easily refuted..... maybe the stats are right that America lags every first and second world country in every category of education. Of course, we try to educate everybody and some folks, like the willfully ignorant here who can't read or understand odds, just shouldn't have been educated..... seemed like a waste of time and money. Of course, that leads to other problems.

Maybe we should give more money to educate all of our children instead of telling them there is an old European looking guy in the sky watching your every move and judging you based on what he forced folks to write down 1000s of years ago.


brandygirasol 55T
9433 posts
11/15/2023 3:51 am

    Quoting Ds_seek_sub_slav:
    Wow. You must be a billionaire as the only way he is the greatest is the continuing tax cuts you are enjoying. The rest of us have to make up your windfall as our cuts sunsetted. I hope you choke on that windfall!

    BTW, this is how the French revolution started. The billionaires at the time didn't fair so well and why EVERY FOUNDING FATHER wanted a regressive tax system and got it! Regressive meaning that the rich pay more as a % than the poor. The key over the years is to define income. A loan on stock is NOT income. Even when you cash stock it is a capital gain or loss and not income!

    These simple tax plans (0.27*W2) let's the rich off scott-free. They don't have a W2. The plans are utter shit. Look at the tax form. 99% of the form defines your adjusted gross income. Four lines do the rest:

    1) look up adjusted gross income in the table
    2) write down the tax owed
    3) subtract tax already paid
    4) refund/write a check

    4 lines. The rest of a 1040 (and its 100s of forms) define income to get your adjusted gross income to look up.

    Sheer willful ignorance!!!! So sad that people don't know how there own shit works and make conclusions easily refuted..... maybe the stats are right that America lags every first and second world country in every category of education. Of course, we try to educate everybody and some folks, like the willfully ignorant here who can't read or understand odds, just shouldn't have been educated..... seemed like a waste of time and money. Of course, that leads to other problems.

    Maybe we should give more money to educate all of our children instead of telling them there is an old European looking guy in the sky watching your every move and judging you based on what he forced folks to write down 1000s of years ago.
Hi💋..... My opinion remains the same but I appreciate you making an intelligent argument trying to convince me rather than resorting to personal attacks and calling me names. I appreciate you, sweety☺️


likeithot19 62M
6061 posts
11/15/2023 6:05 am

    Quoting Ds_seek_sub_slav:
    Wow. Since when is Facebook a source? You are just willfully ignorant! The post reported the story originally and just got it wrong! Poor journalism just like a faux noise.

    Here is the real story.

    apnews.
    com/
    article/
    fact-check-pennsylvania-election-vote-flip-545307248102

    Oops. Clerical error. Votes counted correctly. Print out wrong. The vote was not in error. Two ballot measures were affected with the erroneous printout. Again, those printouts are NOT used to count votes and the votes were recorded properly up the to the state level.

    Damn. Data wins again! Took longer for the page to load than the search did....
The article shows the machines can be manipulated. You even found that on your source. That, IS the point... votes counted right, but the printout count of the votes counted is wrong... that is crazy... So... which is really right? They are supposed to match


Ds_seek_sub_slav 63M/26F
1819 posts
11/15/2023 2:28 pm

    Quoting likeithot19:
    The article shows the machines can be manipulated. You even found that on your source. That, IS the point... votes counted right, but the printout count of the votes counted is wrong... that is crazy... So... which is really right? They are supposed to match
The machines WERE NOT MANIPULATED.

The error was when it was programmed by the election officials and the company. Nobody manipulated the machine DURING voting.

Did you not read what happened? No, it is obvious you did not. The "flip" came when the votes were printed out for auditing. The registered votes were correctly advanced up the system properly.

Nobody MANIPULATED the machine that wasn't supposed to. A CLERICAL ERROR..... they programmed it wrong!

Just like the AP said! Facebook isn't a citable source much less credible.


likeithot19 62M
6061 posts
11/15/2023 2:38 pm

    Quoting Ds_seek_sub_slav:
    The machines WERE NOT MANIPULATED.

    The error was when it was programmed by the election officials and the company. Nobody manipulated the machine DURING voting.

    Did you not read what happened? No, it is obvious you did not. The "flip" came when the votes were printed out for auditing. The registered votes were correctly advanced up the system properly.

    Nobody MANIPULATED the machine that wasn't supposed to. A CLERICAL ERROR..... they programmed it wrong!

    Just like the AP said! Facebook isn't a citable source much less credible.
Explain the difference of programming, and manipulation


Ds_seek_sub_slav 63M/26F
1819 posts
11/15/2023 4:16 pm

    Quoting likeithot19:
    Explain the difference of programming, and manipulation
Willfully ignorant. A lot. If I have to explain it to you, then wow...

Authorized people mis-programmed. Nothing nefarious.

Manipulation connotes mal-intent. A clerical error is a fuck up. People make fuck ups all the time.

Now, if it was found, then it wasn't mal-intent. That's the point of checks and balances. Even authorized people fuck up. The fuck up was minor. A printout swapped values. Invalidate every election? Really? That's what you're going with? Hanging chads? 91 indictments? Where there is smoke, there is fire. Do you now understand how stupid you sound?

Your "complaint" doesn't even pass the smell test much less is a valid argument. You are just willfully ignorant and when shown the facts would prefer to stay willfully ignorant because it doesn't fit your world view.....

Words mean something. You are choosing to ignore that. It's a classic conspiracy theory. 91 indictments are not a conspiracy. A clerical error turned into invalid election results? That's a classic conspiracy.



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